| Symbol | Name | Sectors held | Price | 1M | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🗂 ETFs — 16 funds | |||||
| BUY — 7 symbols | |||||
| KOMP | SPDR S&P Kensho New Economies ETF | Technology 39% · Industrials 24% | $67.92 | +0.3% | BUY |
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | Technology 79% · Industrials 10% | $157.39 | +6.4% | BUY |
| XLK | Technology Select Sector SPDR | Technology 100% | $202.00 | +7.9% | BUY |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Technology 100% | $632.50 | +11.6% | BUY |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | Technology 100% | $589.45 | +13.4% | BUY |
| XSD | SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF | Technology 98% · Industrials 2% | $558.42 | +13.6% | BUY |
| PSI | Invesco Semiconductors ETF | Technology 100% | $158.87 | +16.8% | BUY |
| HOLD — 2 symbols | |||||
| PICK | iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining ETF | Materials 97% · Industrials 3% | $61.12 | -6.1% | HOLD |
| ARKQ | ARK Autonomous Tech & Robotics ETF | Industrials 40% · Technology 32% | $127.20 | +4.0% | HOLD |
| AVOID — 2 symbols | |||||
| LIT | Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF | Materials 50% · Industrials 24% | $71.07 | -4.2% | AVOID |
| BATT | Amplify Lithium & Battery Technology ETF | Materials 58% · Industrials 21% | $14.84 | -4.5% | AVOID |
| SELL — 5 symbols | |||||
| PPA | Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF | Industrials 89% · Technology 11% | $156.20 | -5.4% | SELL |
| XAR | SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | Industrials 100% | $233.62 | -7.6% | SELL |
| ITA | iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF | Industrials 100% | $208.26 | -7.7% | SELL |
| REMX | VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF | Materials 100% | $63.79 | -15.7% | SELL |
| SIL | Global X Silver Miners ETF | Materials 100% · Consumer Staples 0% | $86.63 | -12.8% | SELL |
| 🏢 STOCKS — 13 companies | |||||
| BUY — 3 symbols | |||||
| INTC | Intel Corporation | Semiconductors | $112.50 | +17.4% | BUY |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | Semiconductors | $239.24 | +3.9% | BUY |
| AMD | AMD | Semiconductors | $649.42 | +36.0% | BUY |
| AVOID — 1 symbol | |||||
| GFS | GlobalFoundries | Semiconductors | $48.63 | +7.6% | AVOID |
| SELL — 9 symbols | |||||
| MP | MP Materials Corp. | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | $48.53 | -11.0% | SELL |
| ALMU | Aeluma | Semiconductors | $13.12 | +1.4% | SELL |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | Aerospace & Defense | $237.90 | -7.2% | SELL |
| IBM | IBM | Information Technology Services | $221.29 | -5.8% | SELL |
| RGTI | Rigetti Computing | Computer Hardware | $15.17 | -0.2% | SELL |
| TMQ | Trilogy Metals Inc. | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | $2.97 | -10.0% | SELL |
| LAC | Lithium Americas Corp. | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | $2.54 | -15.3% | SELL |
| QBTS | D-Wave Quantum Inc. | Computer Hardware | $15.79 | -4.8% | SELL |
| USAR | USA Rare Earth | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | $13.74 | -22.0% | SELL |
| Symbol | Company | The stake | Sector | Price | 1M | 3M | Stage | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY — 3 symbols | |||||||||
| INTC Semiconductors |
Intel Corporation | 9.9% common + 5% warrant Commerce · $8.9B · 2025-08 |
Semiconductors Technology |
$112.50 | +17.4% | +2.1% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 96/100 |
source |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 24.1 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Note: CHIPS grants converted to equity at $20.47/share. No board seat; the government votes with the board on most matters.
ETFs holding it: SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF) · SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) · XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR)
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$110 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.59 · IV 79% Bid $11.15 / ask $11.52 · about $1134 per contract · open interest 23455 Fails: costs $1134 per contract, over the $750 cap. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: Cheapest qualifying contract costs $1426 per contract (2026-11-20 $105 @ $14.26), above the $750 per-contract limit. Real setup, just too expensive per contract to size sensibly — raise MAX_PREMIUM_PER_CONTRACT in .env to include these. | |||||||||
| NVDA Semiconductors |
NVIDIA revenue share, not ownership |
15% of China chip-sale revenue White House arrangement · n/a · 2025-08 |
Semiconductors Technology |
$239.24 | +3.9% | +17.2% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 83/100 |
source |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 18.6 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Note: Not an equity stake - a cut of China revenue in exchange for export licences. Included because it is government participation in the P&L, but it confers no ownership and behaves nothing like the equity deals.
ETFs holding it: SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF) · SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) · XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR)
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$230 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.66 · IV 35% Bid $17.14 / ask $17.67 · about $1741 per contract · open interest 60258 Fails: costs $1741 per contract, over the $750 cap. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: Cheapest qualifying contract costs $1098 per contract (2026-11-06 $235 @ $10.98), above the $750 per-contract limit. Real setup, just too expensive per contract to size sensibly — raise MAX_PREMIUM_PER_CONTRACT in .env to include these. | |||||||||
| AMD Semiconductors |
AMD revenue share, not ownership |
15% of China chip-sale revenue White House arrangement · n/a · 2025-08 |
Semiconductors Technology |
$649.42 | +36.0% | +25.5% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 80/100 |
source |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 26.9 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Note: Same arrangement as NVDA - revenue share, not ownership.
ETFs holding it: SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF) · SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) · XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR)
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$630 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.63 · IV 42% Bid $58.86 / ask $59.78 · about $5932 per contract · open interest 4453 Fails: costs $5932 per contract, over the $750 cap. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: Cheapest qualifying contract costs $5978 per contract (2026-11-20 $630 @ $59.78), above the $750 per-contract limit. Real setup, just too expensive per contract to size sensibly — raise MAX_PREMIUM_PER_CONTRACT in .env to include these. | |||||||||
| AVOID — 1 symbol | |||||||||
| GFS Semiconductors / Quantum |
GlobalFoundries | ~1% equity Commerce · $675M · 2026-05 |
Semiconductors Technology |
$48.63 | +7.6% | -28.5% | Stage 1 — basing | AVOID 47/100 |
source |
|
Why AVOID: below the 200-day. "Nothing good happens below the 200-day" is a hard gate here — no long entry — but the 30-week MA is not falling, so this is not a confirmed downtrend either. (Stage 1 — basing, no trend to trade; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 13.3 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Note: Two CHIPS letters of intent - $375M quantum foundry, $300M silicon photonics.
ETFs holding it: SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF) · XSD (SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF) · PSI (Invesco Semiconductors ETF)
No contract: AVOID means no long entry, and it is not a confirmed downtrend either, so neither side qualifies.
| |||||||||
| SELL — 9 symbols | |||||||||
| MP Critical Minerals / Rare Earths |
MP Materials Corp. | ~15% if converted - largest shareholder Defense (Dept. of War) · $400M · 2025-07 |
Other Industrial Metals & Mining Basic Materials |
$48.53 | -11.0% | -8.4% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 43/100 |
source |
|
Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 19.9 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Note: Convertible preferred at $30.03 plus warrants. Paired with a 10-year, 7,000 t/yr magnet offtake and a $150M loan - the offtake is arguably the bigger deal than the equity.
ETFs holding it: REMX (VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF) · PICK (iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining ETF) · LIT (Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF)
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
| |||||||||
| ALMU Semiconductors / Photonics |
Aeluma | Equity equal to the award Commerce · $30M · 2026-07 |
Semiconductors Technology |
$13.12 | +1.4% | -26.0% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 41/100 |
source |
|
Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 16.8 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Note: Microcap. The award is large relative to the company, which cuts both ways.
ETFs holding it: XSD (SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF)
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
| |||||||||
| LHX Defense / Rocket Motors |
L3Harris Technologies | Convertible preferred + warrants Defense (Dept. of War) · $1B · 2026-01 |
Aerospace & Defense Industrials |
$237.90 | -7.2% | -18.9% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 40/100 |
source |
|
Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 52.1 — genuinely trending; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available; RSI 30 — oversold, but falling knives are Stage 4)
Note: The stake is in the Missile Solutions spin-off, NOT in LHX common. It converts on that unit's IPO, expected 2H 2026. LHX is the parent proxy, not the position itself.
ETFs holding it: ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) · XAR (SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF) · PPA (Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF)
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
| |||||||||
| IBM Quantum Computing |
IBM | Minority stake Commerce · $1B · 2026-05 |
Information Technology Services Technology |
$221.29 | -5.8% | -26.7% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 39/100 |
source |
|
Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 12.9 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Note: Largest single award in the quantum round. IBM is a $200B+ company - a $1B stake moves the government's book far more than it moves IBM.
ETFs holding it: XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR) · QTUM (Defiance Quantum ETF) · KOMP (SPDR S&P Kensho New Economies ETF)
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$235 PUT · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.60 · IV 46% about $2151 per contract · open interest 2549 Fails: costs $2151 per contract, over the $750 cap; no live quote — price shown is the last close. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: None of the 66 put contracts for IBM in the 30-45 DTE window had a live two-sided quote inside a 8%-of-mid spread. That is a market/data condition, not a rejected setup. | |||||||||
| RGTI Quantum Computing |
Rigetti Computing | Common stock at a ~15% discount Commerce · $100M · 2026-05 |
Computer Hardware Technology |
$15.17 | -0.2% | -10.3% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 35/100 |
source |
|
Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 9.0 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Note: Part of the $2B, nine-company quantum round.
ETFs holding it: QTUM (Defiance Quantum ETF) · ARKQ (ARK Autonomous Tech & Robotics ETF)
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
| |||||||||
| TMQ Critical Minerals / Mining |
Trilogy Metals Inc. | 10% + 7.5% warrant Defense (Dept. of War) · $35.6M · 2025-10 |
Other Industrial Metals & Mining Basic Materials |
$2.97 | -10.0% | -5.4% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 32/100 |
source |
|
Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 22.9 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Note: About 8.2M shares at $2.17 plus 10-year warrants. Microcap - treat position sizing and spreads with care.
ETFs holding it: SIL (Global X Silver Miners ETF) · PICK (iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining ETF)
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
| |||||||||
| LAC Critical Minerals / Lithium |
Lithium Americas Corp. | 5% via warrants + 5% of the GM JV Energy · $184M · 2025-10 |
Other Industrial Metals & Mining Basic Materials |
$2.54 | -15.3% | -29.1% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 27/100 |
source |
|
Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 17.4 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Note: Warrants at $0.01 exercise - DOE holds the right to acquire, not shares outright, so the stake is contingent on Thacker Pass performing.
ETFs holding it: LIT (Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF) · BATT (Amplify Lithium & Battery Technology ETF) · REMX (VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF)
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
| |||||||||
| QBTS Quantum Computing |
D-Wave Quantum Inc. | Minority equity Commerce · $100M · 2026-05 |
Computer Hardware Technology |
$15.79 | -4.8% | -23.5% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 26/100 |
source |
|
Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 10.6 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Note: Part of the $2B, nine-company quantum round. Letters of intent - final terms may add warrants, royalties or IP licences.
ETFs holding it: QTUM (Defiance Quantum ETF) · KOMP (SPDR S&P Kensho New Economies ETF)
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$18 PUT · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.61 · IV 85% about $320 per contract · open interest 5021 Fails: no live quote — price shown is the last close. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: None of the 40 put contracts for QBTS in the 30-45 DTE window had a live two-sided quote inside a 8%-of-mid spread. That is a market/data condition, not a rejected setup. | |||||||||
| USAR Critical Minerals / Rare Earths |
USA Rare Earth | Shares + warrants Commerce · $1.577B · 2026-01 |
Other Industrial Metals & Mining Basic Materials |
$13.74 | -22.0% | -25.5% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 26/100 |
source |
|
Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 19.0 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Note: One of the largest dollar commitments in the whole programme.
ETFs holding it: REMX (VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF)
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
| |||||||||
| Symbol | Fund | Tracked names inside | Sector mix | Price | 1M | 3M | 6M | Stage | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY — 7 symbols | |||||||||
| KOMP | SPDR S&P Kensho New Economies ETF | QBTS, IBM | Technology 39% Industrials 24% Healthcare 15% +7 more |
$67.92 | +0.3% | -0.2% | +13.4% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 92/100 |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 17.8 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Sector breakdown: Technology 38.6% · Industrials 23.6% · Healthcare 14.6% · Consumer Cyclical 5.9% · Communications 4.4% · Financials 4.1% · Materials 3.3% · Utilities 3.1% · Energy 1.7% · Consumer Staples 0.6% Top holdings: TWST 1.5% · DDD 1.3% · PTC 1.1% · HIMX 1.0% · BRKR 1.0% · U 1.0% · ESLT.TA 0.9% · AMBA 0.9% · AVAV 0.9% · NVDA 0.8%
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$55 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.83 · IV 75% Bid $12.35 / ask $14.62 · about $1349 per contract · open interest 10 Fails: costs $1349 per contract, over the $750 cap; bid/ask spread $2.27 is wider than the $1.08 allowed. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: None of the 27 call contracts for KOMP in the 30-45 DTE window had a live two-sided quote inside a 8%-of-mid spread. That is a market/data condition, not a rejected setup. | |||||||||
| QTUM | Defiance Quantum ETF | QBTS, RGTI, IBM | Technology 79% Industrials 10% Communications 7% +2 more |
$157.39 | +6.4% | +3.2% | +42.5% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 89/100 |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 14.3 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Sector breakdown: Technology 79.0% · Industrials 10.1% · Communications 6.9% · Consumer Cyclical 2.5% · Healthcare 1.6% Top holdings: ESTC 1.9% · 3443.TW 1.8% · ARQQ 1.8% · HQ 1.8% · PLTR 1.7% · NET 1.6% · SNOW 1.6% · NTNX 1.6% · RDNT 1.5% · MDB 1.5%
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$157 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.56 · IV 21% Bid $6.02 / ask $8.08 · about $705 per contract · open interest 31 Fails: bid/ask spread $2.06 is wider than the $0.56 allowed. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: 1 of 33 contracts were priceable, but none fell inside the delta band even widened to ±0.15 (tuned band 0.6-0.7; deltas actually available: 0.93). | |||||||||
| XLK | Technology Select Sector SPDR | INTC, IBM, NVDA, AMD | Technology 100% |
$202.00 | +7.9% | +11.4% | +47.0% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 85/100 |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 19.1 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Sector breakdown: Technology 100.0% Top holdings: NVDA 14.4% · AAPL 12.5% · MSFT 10.1% · AVGO 4.7% · MU 4.0% · AMD 3.9% · INTC 2.9% · CSCO 2.9% · PLTR 2.8% · LRCX 2.5%
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$200 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.59 · IV 24% Bid $8.48 / ask $8.89 · about $869 per contract · open interest 869 Fails: costs $869 per contract, over the $750 cap. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: Cheapest qualifying contract costs $1166 per contract (2026-11-20 $196 @ $11.66), above the $750 per-contract limit. Real setup, just too expensive per contract to size sensibly — raise MAX_PREMIUM_PER_CONTRACT in .env to include these. | |||||||||
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | INTC, NVDA, AMD | Technology 100% |
$632.50 | +11.6% | +6.7% | +58.2% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 83/100 |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 20.3 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Sector breakdown: Technology 100.0% Top holdings: NVDA 22.6% · TSM 9.7% · AVGO 6.1% · MU 5.5% · AMD 5.4% · ASML 5.1% · LRCX 4.4% · AMAT 4.4% · ADI 4.3% · TXN 4.3%
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$635 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.53 · IV 35% Bid $28.37 / ask $29.62 · about $2900 per contract · open interest 1493 Fails: costs $2900 per contract, over the $750 cap. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: Cheapest qualifying contract costs $3808 per contract (2026-11-20 $620 @ $38.08), above the $750 per-contract limit. Real setup, just too expensive per contract to size sensibly — raise MAX_PREMIUM_PER_CONTRACT in .env to include these. | |||||||||
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | INTC, GFS, NVDA, AMD | Technology 100% |
$589.45 | +13.4% | +4.9% | +69.5% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 83/100 |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 19.8 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Sector breakdown: Technology 100.0% Top holdings: NVDA 9.4% · MU 8.9% · AMD 8.2% · AVGO 7.5% · INTC 5.1% · MRVL 4.7% · TSM 4.7% · AMAT 4.6% · LRCX 4.3% · KLAC 4.1%
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$580 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.59 · IV 37% Bid $35.64 / ask $39.91 · about $3778 per contract · open interest 1765 Fails: costs $3778 per contract, over the $750 cap; bid/ask spread $4.27 is wider than the $3.02 allowed. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: Cheapest qualifying contract costs $4820 per contract (2026-11-20 $565 @ $48.20), above the $750 per-contract limit. Real setup, just too expensive per contract to size sensibly — raise MAX_PREMIUM_PER_CONTRACT in .env to include these. | |||||||||
| XSD | SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF | GFS, ALMU | Technology 98% Industrials 2% |
$558.42 | +13.6% | +1.8% | +63.8% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 81/100 |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 18.9 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Sector breakdown: Technology 98.4% · Industrials 1.6% Top holdings: PI 3.9% · AMBA 3.1% · NVDA 3.0% · MU 3.0% · AMD 2.9% · QRVO 2.8% · SLAB 2.8% · AVGO 2.7% · SWKS 2.6% · OLED 2.6%
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$555 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.56 · IV 34% Bid $29.20 / ask $32.12 · about $3066 per contract · open interest 3 Fails: costs $3066 per contract, over the $750 cap; bid/ask spread $2.92 is wider than the $2.45 allowed. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: Cheapest qualifying contract costs $4821 per contract (2026-11-20 $530 @ $48.21), above the $750 per-contract limit. Real setup, just too expensive per contract to size sensibly — raise MAX_PREMIUM_PER_CONTRACT in .env to include these. | |||||||||
| PSI | Invesco Semiconductors ETF | GFS | Technology 100% |
$158.87 | +16.8% | +5.0% | +59.6% | Stage 2 — advancing | BUY 80/100 |
|
Why BUY: Stage 2, above the 200-day, and priced near a pullback entry rather than extended. (Stage 2 (above a rising 30-week MA); above the 200-day; ADX 19.0 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Sector breakdown: Technology 100.0% Top holdings: MU 6.6% · NVDA 6.3% · AMAT 6.2% · LRCX 5.7% · AMD 5.7% · KLAC 5.4% · ADI 5.3% · INTC 4.5% · ONTO 3.3% · ENTG 3.2%
Reference contract only — NOT a cleared recommendation
$150 CALL · american style · expires 2026-11-20 (44 DTE) · Δ0.67 · IV 52% Bid $13.76 / ask $17.97 · about $1586 per contract · open interest 65 Fails: costs $1586 per contract, over the $750 cap; bid/ask spread $4.21 is wider than the $1.27 allowed. Shown so the strike and expiry are visible, not because the engine endorses it. The council vetoed this symbol: None of the 16 call contracts for PSI in the 30-45 DTE window had a live two-sided quote inside a 8%-of-mid spread. That is a market/data condition, not a rejected setup. | |||||||||
| HOLD — 2 symbols | |||||||||
| PICK | iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining ETF | MP, TMQ | Materials 97% Industrials 3% Technology 1% +1 more |
$61.12 | -6.1% | +9.5% | +6.1% | Stage 3 — topping | HOLD 75/100 |
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Why HOLD: Stage 3 — still above the MA, but the MA has stopped rising. Hold, do not add. (Stage 3 — above the MA but it has flattened; above the 200-day; ADX 19.8 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Sector breakdown: Materials 96.5% · Industrials 2.5% · Technology 0.8% · Financials 0.1% Top holdings: BHP.AX 13.9% · RIO.L 6.4% · FCX 6.3% · GLEN.L 4.4% · AAL.L 3.5% · NUE 3.2% · VALE3.SA 3.2% · RIO.AX 2.7% · GMEXICOB.MX 2.3% · STLD 1.8%
No contract: HOLD is not a tradable stage — a CALL needs Stage 2, a PUT needs Stage 4.
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| ARKQ | ARK Autonomous Tech & Robotics ETF | RGTI | Industrials 40% Technology 32% Consumer Cyclical 19% +4 more |
$127.20 | +4.0% | +2.7% | +10.3% | Stage 3 — topping | HOLD 70/100 |
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Why HOLD: Stage 3 — still above the MA, but the MA has stopped rising. Hold, do not add. (Stage 3 — above the MA but it has flattened; above the 200-day; ADX 12.4 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Sector breakdown: Industrials 40.2% · Technology 31.6% · Consumer Cyclical 18.6% · Communications 5.7% · Energy 1.6% · Healthcare 1.3% · Utilities 0.9% Top holdings: TSLA 10.8% · SPCX 7.9% · KTOS 6.0% · TER 5.9% · NVDA 4.9% · PLTR 4.8% · GOOG 4.5% · AMD 3.9% · AMZN 3.6% · TSM 3.5%
No contract: HOLD is not a tradable stage — a CALL needs Stage 2, a PUT needs Stage 4.
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| AVOID — 2 symbols | |||||||||
| LIT | Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF | MP, LAC | Materials 50% Industrials 24% Technology 18% +1 more |
$71.07 | -4.2% | -1.5% | -3.6% | Stage 1 — basing | AVOID 54/100 |
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Why AVOID: below the 200-day. "Nothing good happens below the 200-day" is a hard gate here — no long entry — but the 30-week MA is not falling, so this is not a confirmed downtrend either. (Stage 1 — basing, no trend to trade; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 24.2 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Sector breakdown: Materials 50.4% · Industrials 23.7% · Technology 18.2% · Consumer Cyclical 7.7% Top holdings: RIO 22.2% · 6752.T 6.5% · 002371.SZ 6.5% · 006400.KQ 5.6% · 6762.T 5.2% · ALB 4.8% · TSLA 4.1% · 373220.KQ 3.9% · 300750.SZ 3.5% · PLS.AX 3.4%
No contract: AVOID means no long entry, and it is not a confirmed downtrend either, so neither side qualifies.
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| BATT | Amplify Lithium & Battery Technology ETF | LAC | Materials 58% Industrials 21% Consumer Cyclical 18% +1 more |
$14.84 | -4.5% | +3.0% | -0.1% | Stage 1 — basing | AVOID 52/100 |
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Why AVOID: below the 200-day. "Nothing good happens below the 200-day" is a hard gate here — no long entry — but the 30-week MA is not falling, so this is not a confirmed downtrend either. (Stage 1 — basing, no trend to trade; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 20.8 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Sector breakdown: Materials 58.2% · Industrials 20.7% · Consumer Cyclical 18.4% · Technology 2.7% Top holdings: TSLA 7.3% · BHP.AX 7.0% · FCX 6.2% · 300750.SZ 6.1% · 01211 4.7% · BE 3.5% · GMEXICOB.MX 3.0% · 6762.T 2.6% · 006400.KQ 2.5% · TECK-B.TO 2.5%
No contract: AVOID means no long entry, and it is not a confirmed downtrend either, so neither side qualifies.
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| SELL — 5 symbols | |||||||||
| PPA | Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF | LHX | Industrials 89% Technology 11% Communications 0% |
$156.20 | -5.4% | -11.0% | -8.4% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 44/100 |
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Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 49.7 — genuinely trending; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Sector breakdown: Industrials 88.9% · Technology 10.9% · Communications 0.2% Top holdings: RTX 8.4% · GE 6.9% · BA 6.8% · LMT 6.6% · GD 5.0% · NOC 4.9% · HWM 4.3% · PH 3.9% · AXON 3.7% · LHX 3.7%
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
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| XAR | SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | LHX | Industrials 100% |
$233.62 | -7.6% | -14.7% | -10.2% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 44/100 |
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Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 49.7 — genuinely trending; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available)
Sector breakdown: Industrials 100.0% Top holdings: AXON 3.6% · VSEC 3.4% · RTX 3.3% · ACHR 3.3% · ATI 3.2% · GD 3.1% · LMT 3.0% · GE 3.0% · HEI 2.9% · HXL 2.9%
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
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| ITA | iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF | LHX | Industrials 100% |
$208.26 | -7.7% | -13.1% | -6.7% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 40/100 |
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Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 50.3 — genuinely trending; sitting on the 20-EMA — pullback entry available; RSI 30 — oversold, but falling knives are Stage 4)
Sector breakdown: Industrials 100.0% Top holdings: GE 21.6% · RTX 17.2% · BA 9.1% · GD 4.8% · LMT 4.7% · NOC 4.4% · HWM 4.4% · TDG 4.3% · LHX 3.7% · AXON 3.4%
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
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| REMX | VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF | MP, LAC, USAR | Materials 100% |
$63.79 | -15.7% | -19.9% | -28.4% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 40/100 |
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Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 31.5 — genuinely trending)
Sector breakdown: Materials 100.0% Top holdings: PLS.AX 8.2% · ALB 8.1% · MP 6.8% · LYC.AX 6.8% · 600111.SS 6.6% · ALM 5.8% · SQM 5.7% · 601958.SS 5.3% · 600549.SS 5.1% · 7610.TW 4.1%
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
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| SIL | Global X Silver Miners ETF | TMQ | Materials 100% Consumer Staples 0% |
$86.63 | -12.8% | +17.0% | -6.7% | Stage 4 — declining | SELL 40/100 |
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Why SELL: Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA. A confirmed downtrend: Weinstein rules this out on the long side regardless of how the daily chart looks. (Stage 4 — below a falling 30-week MA; BELOW the 200-day; ADX 17.0 — below Raschke's 30 bar, scored down)
Sector breakdown: Materials 99.9% · Consumer Staples 0.1% Top holdings: WPM.TO 23.3% · PAAS.TO 11.4% · CDE 11.1% · HL 4.9% · PE&OLES.MX 4.5% · SSRM.TO 4.3% · FRES.L 4.2% · OR.TO 3.9% · BVN 3.6%
No put contract: Chain lookup failed: too many requests.
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| Published | Document | Agency | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | DPAS Directive Allocation Order and Additional Requirements for Recoverable Critical Minerals and Materials Rule |
Commerce Department, Industry and Security Bureau | |
| 2026-08-04 | Presidential Determination Pursuant to Section 101 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended, on Recoverable Critical Min… Presidential Document |
Executive Office of the President | |
| 2026-07-17 | Implementing Voluntary Agreements Under the Defense Production Act Rule |
Energy Department | |
| 2026-07-06 | Implementing Voluntary Agreements Under the Defense Production Act Notice |
Energy Department | |
| 2026-06-17 | Presidential Determination and Delegation of Authority Under Section 708 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, as Amended Presidential Document |
Executive Office of the President |
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| Infleqtion | Quantum | Commerce | $100M | Common at 15% discount | 2026-05 |
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| U.S. Steel | Steel | CFIUS/Treasury | n/a | Golden-share veto rights | 2025-06 |